Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Holtsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103158803 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 5,987
Tract 36103158803 sits in Holtsville, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. 69% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share7.2%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$148,644
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holtsville and the region
Centroid at 40.8027, -73.0280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holtsville scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holtsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,222 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holtsville
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holtsville
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holtsville
5.3
How Holtsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holtsville
roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $148,644, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,222, close to the Holtsville average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103158803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158803?
Census tract 36103158803 in Holtsville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103158803?
Median gross rent is $2,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158803?
5.4% of residents in tract 36103158803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,987.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 8th, minority 42th, housing 33th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103158803 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103158803 compare to Holtsville overall?
Tract 36103158803 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Holtsville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holtsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holtsville
Top eight tracts in Holtsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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