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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Melville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103112220 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,453

Tract 36103112220 sits in Melville, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It is home to 3,453 residents. Severe burden reaches 100%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 0% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units981
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$227,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Melville
Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Moderate
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,908 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Melville and the region

Centroid at 40.7746, -73.3872 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melville scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Melville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melville
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melville
5.5

How Melville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melville risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 1122206.7Melvilleparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melville

Cost burden runs 100% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103112220

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103112220?

Census tract 36103112220 in Melville scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103112220?

2.6% of residents in tract 36103112220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,453.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103112220?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 41th, minority 9th, housing 11th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 36103112220 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 36103112220 compare to Melville overall?

Tract 36103112220 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Melville at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Melville

Top eight tracts in Melville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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