Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Watchtower Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36111954401 · Ulster County, NY · pop 3,707 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Watchtower
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 36111954401 in Watchtower, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,707 residents. It sits 2.4 points below the Ulster County average of 6.7.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 30% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall0.08
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watchtower and the region
Centroid at 41.6270, -74.2388 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watchtower scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watchtower
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watchtower
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watchtower
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watchtower
4.5
How Watchtower compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watchtower
The main counterweight is tenant-organizing strength at 2.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 30%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36111954401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36111954401?
Census tract 36111954401 in Watchtower scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 36111954401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 1th, minority 35th, housing 15th.
Q3
What share of households in tract 36111954401 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q4
How does tract 36111954401 compare to Watchtower overall?
Tract 36111954401 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Watchtower at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watchtower; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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