Scarsdale Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 25.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 2.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10.

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Westchester County average of 47.2%. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.6% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lower Westchester Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.