Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Carolina Shores Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 37019020516 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 4,514 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Carolina Shores

Tract 37019020516 sits in Carolina Shores, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 4,514. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units2,371

Renter share9.7%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate6.6%

Median income$73,812

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolina Shores and the region

Centroid at 33.9129, -78.5697 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carolina Shores scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carolina Shores

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

6.6% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,427 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carolina Shores

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carolina Shores

2.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carolina Shores

5.9

How Carolina Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
12.0%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carolina Shores

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Brunswick County at 40.6%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,427, 28% below the Carolina Shores average.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Brunswick County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020516

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020516?

Census tract 37019020516 in Carolina Shores scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37019020516?

Median gross rent is $1,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020516?

6.6% of residents in tract 37019020516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,514.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020516?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 25th, minority 8th, housing 37th.

What share of households in tract 37019020516 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37019020516 compare to Carolina Shores overall?

Tract 37019020516 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Carolina Shores at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Shores; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Shores

Top eight tracts in Carolina Shores ranked by composite eviction-risk score.