Hendersonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.9 points above the Henderson County average of 4.0. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $38,594, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Henderson County average of 38.4%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. At $1,083 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Hendersonville commands. The filing record is not thin: 462 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 8.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.