Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Bailey Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 37127011400 · Nash County, NC · pop 4,367 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Bailey
Census tract 37127011400 covers part of Bailey, NC, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,367. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,732
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$71,711
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bailey and the region
Centroid at 35.7975, -78.1065 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bailey scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bailey
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bailey
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bailey
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bailey
5.3
How Bailey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 2 yrs
- 23.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2002)
- 75Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bailey
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Cost burden runs 27% here against 35.3% across Nash County. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 151 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 23.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 23.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $71,711, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Nash County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $872, close to the Bailey average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37127011400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37127011400?
Census tract 37127011400 in Bailey scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37127011400?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37127011400?
10.0% of residents in tract 37127011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37127011400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 42th, minority 52th, housing 67th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37127011400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37127011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.30% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37127011400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37127011400 compare to Bailey overall?
Tract 37127011400 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bailey at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bailey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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