Camp Johnson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $44,030, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The voucher gap is 27.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.8/10.

Against the Onslow County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. At $1,466 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.