Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Margot's Pond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wake Forest
Tract 37183054220 · Wake County, NC · pop 5,877 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 37183054220 covers part of the Margot's Pond area of Wake Forest, NC, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,877. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,444
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$81,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wake Forest and the region
Centroid at 35.9319, -78.5405 · click any tract to drill in
Why Margot's Pond scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wake Forest
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wake Forest
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wake Forest
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wake Forest
3.2
How Margot's Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Margot's Pond
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $1,128 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Wake Forest commands.
It sits 1.2 points above the Wake County average of 4.0. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Wake County average of 42.7%. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $81,154, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183054220
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183054220?
Census tract 37183054220 in the Margot's Pond neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183054220?
Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183054220?
17.3% of residents in tract 37183054220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,877.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183054220?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 86th, minority 50th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 37183054220 considered part of Margot's Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183054220 fall within Margot's Pond (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37183054220 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37183054220 compare to Wake Forest overall?
Tract 37183054220 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Wake Forest at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wake Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wake Forest
Top eight tracts in Wake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Brewer's Glynn
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Woodside at Olde Mill Stream
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Bennett Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Traditions
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Canonbie
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Deerchase
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Heritage Wake Forest
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Windstone Park
3
/ 10 · Low
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