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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Ashtabula Eviction Risk: Lower , Edgewood

Tract 39007000500 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 4,130 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

39007000500 is a census tract in the Downtown Ashtabula area of Edgewood, OH. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,130 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 20% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,839
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$56,782

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Downtown Ashtabula
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Edgewood
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#1,558 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Edgewood and the region

Centroid at 41.8718, -80.7757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Ashtabula scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Edgewood
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$833 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edgewood
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edgewood
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edgewood
6.6

How Downtown Ashtabula compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Ashtabula risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0005003.6Edgewoodparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 334Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2017)
  • 40Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39007000500
Filings climbed 233% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Ashtabula

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 334 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2017 at 6.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Edgewood rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $56,782, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.

It tracks the Ashtabula County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $833, close to the Edgewood average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000500?

Census tract 39007000500 in the Downtown Ashtabula neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000500?

Median gross rent is $833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000500?

20.0% of residents in tract 39007000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 87th, minority 31th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 39007000500 considered part of Downtown Ashtabula?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000500 fall within Downtown Ashtabula (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 334 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39007000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39007000500 compare to Edgewood overall?

Tract 39007000500 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Edgewood at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edgewood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Edgewood

Top eight tracts in Edgewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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