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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Geneva Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39007000802 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 4,697 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Geneva

Geneva is where census tract 39007000802 sits, home to 4,697 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #49,142 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $815 monthly, set against $64,805 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 21% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,019
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$64,805

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Geneva
Very Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
Low
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#1,148 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Geneva and the region

Centroid at 41.7935, -80.9238 · click any tract to drill in

Why Geneva scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Geneva
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$815 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Geneva
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Geneva
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Geneva
6.6

How Geneva compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Geneva risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 000802Geneva: 2.52.5Genevaparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 857Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak (2005)
  • 59Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390070008022002: 32 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 66 filings (11.18/100 renter HHs)2004: 65 filings (11.01/100 renter HHs)2005: 90 filings (13.67/100 renter HHs)2006: 81 filings (12.30/100 renter HHs)2007: 43 filings (6.53/100 renter HHs)2009: 39 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 49 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 48 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 48 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 53 filings (9.36/100 renter HHs)2015: 63 filings (11.13/100 renter HHs)2016: 73 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2017: 59 filings (6.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 84% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Geneva

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Geneva, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000802?

Census tract 39007000802 in Geneva scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000802?

Median gross rent is $815/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000802?

16.9% of residents in tract 39007000802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,697.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 72th, minority 17th, housing 73th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 857 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.91% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39007000802 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39007000802 compare to Geneva overall?

Tract 39007000802 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Geneva at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Geneva; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Geneva

Top eight tracts in Geneva ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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