Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Orwell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007001402 ·
Ashtabula County, OH · pop 4,934 · 12% of tract blocks fall in Orwell
39007001402 is a census tract in Orwell, OH. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,934. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 15%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$51,190
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Orwell
Very High
Within county
59th percentile
#12 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
Elevated
Within state
62th percentile
#1,200 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
51th percentile
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orwell and the region
Centroid at 41.5514, -80.7986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orwell scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orwell
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$799 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orwell
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orwell
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orwell
7.3
How Orwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.9%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.3%Food insecurity
17.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
21.7%Frequent mental distress
36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orwell
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.4% across Ashtabula County.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Ashtabula County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $799, close to the Orwell average.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $51,190. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007001402?
Census tract 39007001402 in Orwell scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007001402?
Median gross rent is $799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007001402?
16.5% of residents in tract 39007001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,934.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 30th, minority 3th, housing 88th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 39007001402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 39007001402 compare to Orwell overall?
Tract 39007001402 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Orwell at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orwell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orwell
Top eight tracts in Orwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.