South Fountain Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $30,893, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Clark County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The filing record is not thin: 227 evictions over 6 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 14.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.