Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Guilford Lake Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39029951000 · Columbiana County, OH · pop 5,502 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Guilford Lake
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 39029951000 in Guilford Lake, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,502 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,284
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$56,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guilford Lake and the region
Centroid at 40.7742, -80.9916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guilford Lake scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guilford Lake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,011 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guilford Lake
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guilford Lake
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guilford Lake
2.3
How Guilford Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 118Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2002)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guilford Lake
about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Columbiana County average of 34.5%. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 118 filings here across 10 tracked years. The voucher gap is 14.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
It sits 0.7 points below the Columbiana County average of 4.0. Filings peaked in 2002 at 4.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39029951000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39029951000?
Census tract 39029951000 in Guilford Lake scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39029951000?
Median gross rent is $1,011/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39029951000?
13.4% of residents in tract 39029951000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,502.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39029951000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 20th, minority 7th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39029951000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 118 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39029951000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39029951000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39029951000 compare to Guilford Lake overall?
Tract 39029951000 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Guilford Lake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guilford Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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