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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Redfern Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Berea

Tract 39035134205 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,304 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 39035134205 covers the Redfern Trails neighborhood of Berea, home to 2,304 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #52,158 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,492 a month against an average household income of $75,944 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,021
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$75,944

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Redfern Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Berea
Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#2,255 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berea and the region

Centroid at 41.3574, -81.8752 · click any tract to drill in

Why Redfern Trails scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berea
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berea
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berea
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berea
4.4

How Redfern Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Redfern Trails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 134205Berea: 2.62.6Bereaparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 114Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2015)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351342052004: 5 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (4.14/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (6.28/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (8.21/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Redfern Trails

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Berea, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035134205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035134205?

Census tract 39035134205 in the Redfern Trails neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035134205?

Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035134205?

6.8% of residents in tract 39035134205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,304.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035134205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 26th, minority 15th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 39035134205 considered part of Redfern Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035134205 fall within Redfern Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035134205?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035134205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.42% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39035134205 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39035134205 compare to Berea overall?

Tract 39035134205 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Berea at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berea; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39035134205 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berea

Top eight tracts in Berea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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