Grant Deming's Forest Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 41.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,706, 40% above the Cleveland Heights average of $1,216. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 205 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 14.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.3% in 2016 against a 14.6% peak.

Among the 18 mapped neighborhoods of Cleveland Heights, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Cain Park Village and Potter Village score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 4.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.