Neighborhood · Ranked #20,273 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland

Tract 39035116500 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,499 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Forest Hills neighborhood of Cleveland anchors census tract 39035116500, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #8,630 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $976 a month against an average household income of $28,553 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 18% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,240

Renter share71.4%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate38.1%

Median income$28,553

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.5342, -81.6112 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hills scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Cleveland

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

38.1% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$976 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Cleveland

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Cleveland

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Cleveland

5.0

How Forest Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

827Total filings over 12 yrs
10.08%Avg annual filing rate
13.8%Peak (2007)
40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings dropped 41% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

189Total filings 2020-21
2.5Avg monthly (observed)
3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.67×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.2%Housing insecurity
29.9%Utility-shutoff threat
47.5%Food insecurity
50.6%SNAP enrollment
23.0%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
46.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035116500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035116500?

Census tract 39035116500 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035116500?

Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035116500?

38.1% of residents in tract 39035116500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,499.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035116500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 87th.

Is tract 39035116500 considered part of Forest Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035116500 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035116500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 827 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035116500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.08% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39035116500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39035116500 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035116500 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035116500 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39035116500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.