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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,613 of 84,120 nationally

Raintree Eviction Risk: Moderate , Olmsted Falls

Tract 39035176200 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 5,266 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up the Raintree neighborhood of Olmsted Falls, census tract 39035176200 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than about 45% of US census tracts.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,109 a month against an average household income of $85,451 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 12% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,480
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$85,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Raintree
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Olmsted Falls
Very High
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileBottomTop
#279 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Low
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileBottomTop
#784 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Olmsted Falls and the region

Centroid at 41.3583, -81.8983 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raintree scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Olmsted Falls
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Olmsted Falls
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Olmsted Falls
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Olmsted Falls
4.2

How Raintree compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Raintree risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 176200Olmsted Falls: 4.74.7Olmsted Fallsparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 360Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2006)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351762002004: 19 filings (4.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 33 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 55 filings (13.22/100 renter HHs)2007: 46 filings (11.06/100 renter HHs)2008: 41 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2009: 45 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2010: 30 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raintree

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 4.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Olmsted Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 360 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 6.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.2% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035176200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035176200?

Census tract 39035176200 in the Raintree neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035176200?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035176200?

7.0% of residents in tract 39035176200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,266.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035176200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 63th, minority 25th, housing 47th.

Q5

Is tract 39035176200 considered part of Raintree?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035176200 fall within Raintree (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035176200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 360 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035176200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.72% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035176200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035176200 compare to Olmsted Falls overall?

Tract 39035176200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Olmsted Falls at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Olmsted Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035176200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Olmsted Falls

Top eight tracts in Olmsted Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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