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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Shelbourne Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Delaware

Tract 39041010420 · Delaware County, OH · pop 2,810 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 39041010420 sits in the Shelbourne Forest area of Delaware eviction laws, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,810 residents. Against Delaware County at 36.6%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$78,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shelbourne Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Delaware
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 40 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Delaware and the region

Centroid at 40.3191, -83.0809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelbourne Forest scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Delaware
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,038 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Delaware
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Delaware
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Delaware
4.6

How Shelbourne Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelbourne Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0104204.0Delawareparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 163Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2012)
  • 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39041010420
Filings dropped 47% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelbourne Forest

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Delaware County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

At $1,038 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Delaware commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 163 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 6.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $78,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39041010420

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39041010420?

Census tract 39041010420 in the Shelbourne Forest neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39041010420?

Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39041010420?

12.9% of residents in tract 39041010420 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,810.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39041010420?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 12th, minority 15th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 39041010420 considered part of Shelbourne Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39041010420 fall within Shelbourne Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39041010420?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 163 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39041010420 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.79% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39041010420 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39041010420 compare to Delaware overall?

Tract 39041010420 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Delaware at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Delaware eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Delaware

Top eight tracts in Delaware ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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