Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Shelbourne Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Delaware
Tract 39041010420 · Delaware County, OH · pop 2,810 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 39041010420 reflects conditions in Shelbourne Forest in Delaware, Ohio. On the national scale it ranks #49,176 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,038 monthly, set against $78,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$78,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Delaware and the region
Centroid at 40.3191, -83.0809 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelbourne Forest scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Delaware
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,038 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Delaware
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Delaware
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Delaware
4.6
How Shelbourne Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 163Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelbourne Forest
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Delaware eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Delaware County average of 4.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 163 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2012.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39041010420
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39041010420?
Census tract 39041010420 in the Shelbourne Forest neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39041010420?
Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39041010420?
12.9% of residents in tract 39041010420 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39041010420?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 12th, minority 15th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 39041010420 considered part of Shelbourne Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39041010420 fall within Shelbourne Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39041010420?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 163 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39041010420 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.79% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39041010420 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39041010420 compare to Delaware overall?
Tract 39041010420 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Delaware at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Delaware eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Delaware
Top eight tracts in Delaware ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Sandusky Street Historic District
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Sandusky Street Historic District
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Lexington Glen
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39041011200
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Lexington Glen
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39041012200
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Sandusky Street Historic District
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
39041010520
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 39041010420
Parent city ↑
Delaware
2.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Delaware County
Parent state ↑
Ohio
Sibling tract →
Sandusky Street Historic District
4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sandusky Street Historic District
3.1 / 10
Sibling tract →
Lexington Glen
2.9 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts