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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

South-of-Main Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus

Tract 39049005410 · Franklin County, OH · pop 1,620 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39049005410 in the South-of-Main area of Columbus, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 41.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 27% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units694
Renter share61.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$42,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South-of-Main
Moderate
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 238 tracts In Columbus
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#24 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 39.9556, -82.9538 · click any tract to drill in

Why South-of-Main scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,102 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0

How South-of-Main compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South-of-Main risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0054104.3Columbusparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,000Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 20.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.1%Peak (2003)
  • 77Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39049005410
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 339Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South-of-Main

Food insecurity runs 40.9% against 17.8% nationally. Against Franklin County at 41.6%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. Against the Franklin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,000 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $1,102 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Columbus commands. The worst year on record was 2003, when 22.1% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 20.6% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049005410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049005410?

Census tract 39049005410 in the South-of-Main neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049005410?

Median gross rent is $1,102/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049005410?

27.9% of residents in tract 39049005410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,620.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049005410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 93th, minority 89th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 39049005410 considered part of South-of-Main?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049005410 fall within South-of-Main (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049005410?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,000 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049005410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.55% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39049005410 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39049005410 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39049005410 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049005410 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 39049005410 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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