Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
St. Marys Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049002510 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 39049002510 sits in the St. Marys area of Columbus eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 2,719 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$37,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9905, -82.9525 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Marys scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,130 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How St. Marys compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 680Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.1%Peak (2015)
- 74Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 300Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.6%Food insecurity
- 37.1%SNAP enrollment
- 19.0%Transit barriers
- 17.0%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Marys
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Franklin County average of 41.6%. Food insecurity runs 38.6% against 17.8% nationally.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $37,917, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Franklin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 680 evictions over 13 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,130, 13% below the Columbus average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 18.1% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049002510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049002510?
Census tract 39049002510 in the St. Marys neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049002510?
Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049002510?
28.3% of residents in tract 39049002510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049002510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 97th, minority 91th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 39049002510 considered part of St. Marys?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049002510 fall within St. Marys (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049002510?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 680 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049002510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.35% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049002510 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049002510 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049002510 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049002510 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049002510 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Driving Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Hyde Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Indianola Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mayfair
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northgate
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Walnut Creek
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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