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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Heather Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Powell

Tract 39041011432 · Delaware County, OH · pop 7,708 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

39041011432 is a census tract in the Heather Ridge area of Powell, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,708 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Delaware County average of 36.6%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,807
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$146,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Heather Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Powell
Moderate
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#28 of 40 tracts In Delaware County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Powell and the region

Centroid at 40.2308, -83.1208 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heather Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Powell
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,563 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Powell
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Powell
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Powell
3.5

How Heather Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heather Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0114323.4Powellparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heather Ridge

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 77.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally.

At $2,563 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Powell commands. It sits 0.8 points below the Delaware County average of 3.8. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39041011432

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39041011432?

Census tract 39041011432 in the Heather Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39041011432?

Median gross rent is $2,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39041011432?

2.1% of residents in tract 39041011432 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,708.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39041011432?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 19th, minority 20th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 39041011432 considered part of Heather Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39041011432 fall within Heather Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39041011432 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39041011432 compare to Powell overall?

Tract 39041011432 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Powell at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Powell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Powell

Top eight tracts in Powell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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