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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Fairborn Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39057200104 · Greene County, OH · pop 5,072 · 50% of tract blocks fall in Fairborn

39057200104 is a census tract in Fairborn, OH. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,072. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Greene County average of 36.2%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 33% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,941
Renter share86.3%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate32.7%
Median income$41,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Fairborn
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 42 tracts In Greene County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#466 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairborn and the region

Centroid at 39.8295, -84.0886 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairborn scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fairborn
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
32.7% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairborn
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairborn
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairborn
6.2

How Fairborn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairborn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 2001044.2Fairbornparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 184Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2015)
  • 27Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39057200104
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairborn

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $41,125, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

Against the Greene County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 184 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

At $1,105 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Fairborn commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39057200104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39057200104?

Census tract 39057200104 in Fairborn scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39057200104?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39057200104?

32.7% of residents in tract 39057200104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39057200104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 2th, minority 49th, housing 84th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39057200104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39057200104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.17% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39057200104 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39057200104 compare to Fairborn overall?

Tract 39057200104 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fairborn at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fairborn

Top eight tracts in Fairborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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