Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Willard Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39077916200 · Huron County, OH · pop 4,609 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Willard
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 39077916200 in Willard, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,609. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,597
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$61,179
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Willard and the region
Centroid at 41.0381, -82.7742 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Willard
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willard
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willard
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willard
5.1
How Willard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2015)
- 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 2.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Huron County average of 33.3%.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 44 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $61,179, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Huron County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $894, close to the Willard average.
33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39077916200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39077916200?
Census tract 39077916200 in Willard scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39077916200?
Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39077916200?
17.0% of residents in tract 39077916200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,609.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39077916200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 98th, minority 38th, housing 55th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39077916200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 39077916200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.40% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39077916200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39077916200 compare to Willard overall?
Tract 39077916200 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Willard at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willard; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Willard
Top eight tracts in Willard ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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