Neighborhood · Ranked #38,706 of 84,120 nationally

Newell Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mentor

Tract 39085203200 · Lake County, OH · pop 3,685 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 39085203200 in the Newell Creek neighborhood of Mentor ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,685 residents. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,132 a month while the average household earns $66,750 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,988

Renter share43.9%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$66,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mentor and the region

Centroid at 41.6525, -81.3564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newell Creek scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mentor

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,132 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mentor

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mentor

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mentor

4.0

How Newell Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

721Total filings over 14 yrs
8.03%Avg annual filing rate
13.7%Peak (2005)
22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2017

Filings dropped 70% over the past 14 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.6%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newell Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 4.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mentor eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lake County average of 4.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 721 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.7% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39085203200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085203200?

Census tract 39085203200 in the Newell Creek neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39085203200?

Median gross rent is $1,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39085203200?

6.9% of residents in tract 39085203200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,685.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39085203200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 36th, minority 42th, housing 88th.

Is tract 39085203200 considered part of Newell Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085203200 fall within Newell Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085203200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 721 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085203200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.03% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39085203200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39085203200 compare to Mentor overall?

Tract 39085203200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mentor at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mentor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mentor

Top eight tracts in Mentor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.