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Census Tract · Ranked #40,134 of 84,120 nationally

Willoughby Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39085201300 · Lake County, OH · pop 3,775

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39085201300 (Willoughby, Ohio) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,225 a month against an average household income of $69,048 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 12% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,982
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$69,048

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 6 tracts In Willoughby
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#14 of 59 tracts In Lake County
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileBottomTop
#1,213 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileBottomTop
#40,134 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Willoughby and the region

Centroid at 41.6183, -81.4295 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willoughby scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Willoughby
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,225 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willoughby
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willoughby
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willoughby
5.6

How Willoughby compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willoughby risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 201300Willoughby: 4.44.4Willoughbyparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 293Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2015)
  • 15Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390852013002002: 20 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (2.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 22 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (1.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2015: 33 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2017: 15 filings (1.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willoughby

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Willoughby, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lake County average of 4.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 293 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39085201300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085201300?

Census tract 39085201300 in Willoughby scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39085201300?

Median gross rent is $1,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39085201300?

10.4% of residents in tract 39085201300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,775.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39085201300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 74th, minority 22th, housing 60th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085201300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 293 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085201300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.90% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 39085201300 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 39085201300 compare to Willoughby overall?

Tract 39085201300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Willoughby at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willoughby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Willoughby

Top eight tracts in Willoughby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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