Neighborhood · Ranked #37,394 of 84,120 nationally

Birchwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mentor-on-the-Lake

Tract 39085202500 · Lake County, OH · pop 4,223 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 39085202500 in Birchwood in Mentor-on-the-Lake ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,223 residents. On the national scale it ranks #60,511 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,005 monthly, set against $60,195 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 38% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units2,258

Renter share56.0%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate10.2%

Median income$60,195

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mentor-on-the-Lake and the region

Centroid at 41.7154, -81.3568 · click any tract to drill in

Why Birchwood scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mentor-on-the-Lake

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

10.2% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,005 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mentor-on-the-Lake

3.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mentor-on-the-Lake

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mentor-on-the-Lake

4.1

How Birchwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

1,378Total filings over 14 yrs
9.71%Avg annual filing rate
13.1%Peak (2005)
42Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2017

Filings dropped 62% over the past 14 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Birchwood

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mentor eviction risk-on-the-Lake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lake County average of 4.8 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39085202500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085202500?

Census tract 39085202500 in the Birchwood neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39085202500?

Median gross rent is $1,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39085202500?

10.2% of residents in tract 39085202500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,223.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39085202500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 29th, minority 18th, housing 33th.

Is tract 39085202500 considered part of Birchwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085202500 fall within Birchwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085202500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,378 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085202500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.71% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39085202500 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39085202500 compare to Mentor-on-the-Lake overall?

Tract 39085202500 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Mentor-on-the-Lake at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mentor eviction risk-on-the-Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mentor-on-the-Lake

Top eight tracts in Mentor-on-the-Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.