Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Rochester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39093097100 ·
Lorain County, OH · pop 2,986 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Rochester
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 39093097100 in Rochester ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,986 residents. That is riskier than about 4% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $89,972 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 1%Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,121
Renter share1.2%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$89,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Rochester
Moderate
Within county
19th percentile
#64 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very Low
Within state
15th percentile
#2,701 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
12th percentile
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rochester and the region
Centroid at 41.1224, -82.2636 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rochester scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rochester
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester
1.8
How Rochester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
31%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rochester
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093097100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097100?
Census tract 39093097100 in Rochester scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097100?
2.8% of residents in tract 39093097100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,986.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 10th, minority 12th, housing 9th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093097100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39093097100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 39093097100 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 39093097100 compare to Rochester overall?
Tract 39093097100 scores 2/10, right in line with the parent city of Rochester at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.