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Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Rochester Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39093097100 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,986 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Rochester

With a score of 3.3/10, tract 39093097100 in Rochester ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,986 residents. That is riskier than about 4% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $89,972 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 1% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,121
Renter share1.2%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$89,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rochester
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very Low
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#2,701 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 41.1224, -82.2636 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rochester scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rochester
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester
1.8

How Rochester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rochester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 097100Rochester: 1.91.9Rochesterparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2012)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930971002002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (1.30/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rochester

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093097100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097100?

Census tract 39093097100 in Rochester scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097100?

2.8% of residents in tract 39093097100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,986.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 10th, minority 12th, housing 9th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093097100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39093097100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

What share of households in tract 39093097100 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39093097100 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 39093097100 scores 2/10, right in line with the parent city of Rochester at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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