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Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Grafton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39093077100 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,606 · 0% of tract blocks fall in Grafton

Tract 39093077100 covers Grafton in Ohio. Home to 3,606 residents, it scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 10% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $867 a month against an average household income of $98,281 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 11% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,497
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$98,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Grafton
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#2,766 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grafton and the region

Centroid at 41.2964, -82.1133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grafton scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grafton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grafton
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grafton
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grafton
3.7

How Grafton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grafton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 077100Grafton: 2.52.5Graftonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930771002002: 3 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2006: 8 filings (5.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (2.06/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (5.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grafton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grafton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 48 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093077100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093077100?

Census tract 39093077100 in Grafton scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093077100?

Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093077100?

4.0% of residents in tract 39093077100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,606.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093077100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 25th, minority 9th, housing 23th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093077100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39093077100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.20% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39093077100 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39093077100 compare to Grafton overall?

Tract 39093077100 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Grafton at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grafton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grafton

Top eight tracts in Grafton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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