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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Breeze Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sheffield Lake

Tract 39093021200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,569 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 39093021200 covers part of the Lake Breeze area of Sheffield Lake, OH, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,569. The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.4/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 12% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,612
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$60,942

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Breeze
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Sheffield Lake
Very High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#1,437 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sheffield Lake and the region

Centroid at 41.4875, -82.1116 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Breeze scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,098 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
4.5

How Lake Breeze compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Breeze risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0212003.6Sheffield Lakeparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 414Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.1%Peak (2004)
  • 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093021200
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Breeze

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 414 filings here across 11 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 18.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lorain. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 36% of renters. It tracks the Lorain County average of 4.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,098, close to the Sheffield Lake average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093021200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093021200?

Census tract 39093021200 in the Lake Breeze neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093021200?

Median gross rent is $1,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093021200?

12.3% of residents in tract 39093021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,569.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093021200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 51th, minority 14th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 39093021200 considered part of Lake Breeze?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093021200 fall within Lake Breeze (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093021200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 414 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093021200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093021200 compare to Sheffield Lake overall?

Tract 39093021200 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Sheffield Lake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sheffield Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39093021200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sheffield Lake

Top eight tracts in Sheffield Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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