Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carousel Corners Eviction Risk: Lower , New Middletown
Tract 39099813601 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,826 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
39099813601 is a census tract in the Carousel Corners area of New Middletown, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,826 residents. At $954 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of New Middletown commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,578
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$57,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Middletown and the region
Centroid at 40.9643, -80.5739 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carousel Corners scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Middletown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Middletown
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Middletown
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Middletown
5.5
How Carousel Corners compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carousel Corners
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points. Cost burden runs 51% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099813601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099813601?
Census tract 39099813601 in the Carousel Corners neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099813601?
Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099813601?
6.4% of residents in tract 39099813601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,826.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099813601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 24th, minority 4th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 39099813601 considered part of Carousel Corners?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099813601 fall within Carousel Corners (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099813601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099813601 compare to New Middletown overall?
Tract 39099813601 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of New Middletown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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