Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Carousel Corners Eviction Risk: Lower , New Middletown
Tract 39099813601 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,826 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Here is how census tract 39099813601, in the Carousel Corners area of New Middletown eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,826. On the national scale it ranks #33,790 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $954 monthly, set against $57,681 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,578
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$57,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Middletown and the region
Centroid at 40.9643, -80.5739 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carousel Corners scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Middletown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Middletown
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Middletown
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Middletown
5.5
How Carousel Corners compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carousel Corners
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099813601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099813601?
Census tract 39099813601 in the Carousel Corners neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099813601?
Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099813601?
6.4% of residents in tract 39099813601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,826.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099813601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 24th, minority 4th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 39099813601 considered part of Carousel Corners?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099813601 fall within Carousel Corners (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099813601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099813601 compare to New Middletown overall?
Tract 39099813601 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of New Middletown at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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