Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Timberbrook Trail Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39099811002 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 7,583 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 39099811002 in the Timberbrook Trail area of Mahoning County, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,583 residents. Cost burden runs 61% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units2,749
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$102,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mahoning County and the region
Centroid at 41.0003, -80.5763 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timberbrook Trail scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$860 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Timberbrook Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 34Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timberbrook Trail
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.5 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 34 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 3.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099811002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811002?
Census tract 39099811002 in the Timberbrook Trail neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099811002?
Median gross rent is $860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811002?
2.8% of residents in tract 39099811002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,583.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 36th, minority 6th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 39099811002 considered part of Timberbrook Trail?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811002 fall within Timberbrook Trail (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39099811002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099811002 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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