Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Fostoria Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39147962900 ·
Seneca County, OH · pop 3,995 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 39147962900 sits in the Downtown Fostoria area of Fostoria, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 3,995 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 2.4/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 27%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,463
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$60,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Downtown Fostoria
Moderate
Within parent city
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In Fostoria
Low
Within county
62th percentile
#6 of 14 tracts In Seneca County
Elevated
Within state
64th percentile
#1,142 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fostoria and the region
Centroid at 41.1564, -83.4150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Fostoria scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fostoria
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$836 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fostoria
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fostoria
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fostoria
5.9
How Downtown Fostoria compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.4%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
19.1%Food insecurity
16.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
21.0%Frequent mental distress
31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fostoria
39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Seneca County average of 31.2%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Against the Seneca County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $60,194, annual rent is just 17%.
Average gross rent is $836, close to the Fostoria average. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39147962900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39147962900?
Census tract 39147962900 in the Downtown Fostoria neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39147962900?
Median gross rent is $836/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39147962900?
16.5% of residents in tract 39147962900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,995.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39147962900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 67th, minority 38th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 39147962900 considered part of Downtown Fostoria?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39147962900 fall within Downtown Fostoria (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39147962900 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39147962900 compare to Fostoria overall?
Tract 39147962900 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fostoria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fostoria; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fostoria
Top eight tracts in Fostoria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.