Downtown Barberton Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 2,515 across 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 16.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 6.3% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.3 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $820, close to the Barberton average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,258. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.