Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Marysville Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39159050402 · Union County, OH · pop 3,999 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 39159050402 covers part of the Marysville Historic District area of Marysville, OH, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,999 residents. Against Union County at 29.2%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 12% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,869

Renter share20.7%

SVI overall0.07

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$83,170

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marysville and the region

Centroid at 40.2433, -83.3787 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marysville Historic District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Marysville

4.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.4

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,116 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Marysville

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Marysville

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Marysville

4.0

How Marysville Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
10%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marysville Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marysville Historic District

The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Union County average of 3.9. At $1,116 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Marysville commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $83,170, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39159050402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39159050402?

Census tract 39159050402 in the Marysville Historic District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39159050402?

Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39159050402?

9.7% of residents in tract 39159050402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,999.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39159050402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 4th, minority 10th, housing 9th.

Is tract 39159050402 considered part of Marysville Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39159050402 fall within Marysville Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39159050402 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39159050402 compare to Marysville overall?

Tract 39159050402 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Marysville at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marysville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marysville

Top eight tracts in Marysville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.