Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39165030102 · Warren County, OH · pop 4,963 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Carlisle
Tract 39165030102 covers Carlisle in Warren County in Ohio. Home to 4,963 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 41st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $887 a month against an average household income of $73,700 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$73,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 39.5790, -84.3210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$887 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 276Total filings over 8 yrs
- 10.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.2%Peak (2002)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Warren County average of 4.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39165030102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39165030102?
Census tract 39165030102 in Carlisle scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39165030102?
Median gross rent is $887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39165030102?
10.4% of residents in tract 39165030102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,963.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39165030102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 72th, minority 15th, housing 82th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39165030102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 276 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39165030102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.22% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39165030102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39165030102 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 39165030102 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Carlisle at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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