Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39165030102 · Warren County, OH · pop 4,963 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Carlisle
39165030102 is a census tract in Carlisle, OH. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,963. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$73,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 39.5790, -84.3210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$887 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 276Total filings over 8 yrs
- 10.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.2%Peak (2002)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Warren County average of 33.1%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.9/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Against the Warren County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 276 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 22.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $73,700, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $887, close to the Carlisle average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39165030102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39165030102?
Census tract 39165030102 in Carlisle scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39165030102?
Median gross rent is $887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39165030102?
10.4% of residents in tract 39165030102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,963.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39165030102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 72th, minority 15th, housing 82th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39165030102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 276 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39165030102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.22% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39165030102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39165030102 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 39165030102 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Carlisle at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related