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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Aluma Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oklahoma City

Tract 40109106100 · Oklahoma County, OK · pop 3,639 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

40109106100 is a census tract in the Lake Aluma area of Oklahoma City, OK. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,639. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 11% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,209
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$67,721

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lake Aluma
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 217 tracts In Oklahoma City
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 266 tracts In Oklahoma County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oklahoma City and the region

Centroid at 35.5286, -97.4694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Aluma scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oklahoma City
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oklahoma City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oklahoma City
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oklahoma City
2.0

How Lake Aluma compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Aluma risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 1061003.4Oklahoma Cityparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Aluma. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Aluma

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.1/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.4% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 1.0 points above the Oklahoma County average of 3.8. Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oklahoma City. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,143, close to the Oklahoma City average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40109106100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40109106100?

Census tract 40109106100 in the Lake Aluma neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40109106100?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40109106100?

32.2% of residents in tract 40109106100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,639.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40109106100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 99th, minority 87th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 40109106100 considered part of Lake Aluma?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40109106100 fall within Lake Aluma (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40109106100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40109106100 compare to Oklahoma City overall?

Tract 40109106100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Oklahoma City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oklahoma City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 40109106100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oklahoma City

Top eight tracts in Oklahoma City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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