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Neighborhood · Tulsa, OK

South Nogales Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,981 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

South Nogales is a one-tract neighborhood of Tulsa, OK and houses 1,981 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Tulsa rate of 29.0%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. SNAP participation is 36.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Disability prevalence reaches 52.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $868, 17% below the Tulsa average of $1,052. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

That places it #1 of 117 neighborhoods in Tulsa. The closest comparables inside the same city are University Park and Hope Valley.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $38,281.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Nogales vs Tulsa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.8% +99%
Tulsa: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$868 -17%
Tulsa: $1,052
Average HH income
$38,281 -34%
Tulsa: $58,407
Poverty rate
29.2% +57%
Tulsa: 18.6%
Renter share
51.3% +7%
Tulsa: 48.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Nogales and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why South Nogales scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
29.2% below poverty line · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

South Nogales vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Nogales score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Nogales: 4.84.8South NogalesNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.53.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Nogales

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
40143004900 4.8 1,981 58% $868
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 96%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Nogales

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Nogales

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Nogales?

South Nogales scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Nogales compare to Tulsa overall?

South Nogales scores 1.4 points higher than Tulsa overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $868 vs $1,052.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Nogales?

Average gross rent in South Nogales is $868/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Nogales residents are renters?

51% of South Nogales households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tulsa). The neighborhood has 1,981 residents.
Q5

Is South Nogales a high social-vulnerability area?

South Nogales sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Nogales for landlords?

South Nogales carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tulsa as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Nogales?

South Nogales has 1,913 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.6%), Other / Multiracial (28.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Nogales

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tulsa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Nogales.

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