Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Birdshill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milwaukie
Tract 41005021200 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 3,426 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 41005021200 covers part of the Birdshill area of Milwaukie, OR, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,788
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$67,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region
Centroid at 45.4303, -122.6438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birdshill scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,875 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
6.0
How Birdshill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 344Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2008)
- 25Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birdshill
65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Clackamas County average of 50.1%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.3/10. Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Set annual rent against average income of $67,415 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,875, 17% above the Milwaukie average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 344 filings here across 6 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 7.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021200?
Census tract 41005021200 in the Birdshill neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021200?
Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021200?
8.6% of residents in tract 41005021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,426.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 65th, minority 36th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021200 considered part of Birdshill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021200 fall within Birdshill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 344 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.12% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021200 compare to Milwaukie overall?
Tract 41005021200 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Milwaukie at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41005021200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie
Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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