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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Grove

Tract 41005021400 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,139 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 41005021400 sits in the Lake Road neighborhood of Oak Grove, Oregon. It has a population of 5,139 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 55% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 22% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,624/month against a median household income of $83,900 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 13% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,946
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$83,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Road
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Oak Grove
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank — 84th percentileBottomTop
#15 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank — 62th percentileBottomTop
#382 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region

Centroid at 45.4217, -122.6227 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Road scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,624 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.3

How Lake Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Road risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 021400Oak Grove: 6.76.7Oak Groveparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2008)
  • 19Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2007 — 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410050214002007: 26 filings (3.96/100 renter HHs)2008: 27 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 6 months.
Frequently asked

About tract 41005021400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021400?

Census tract 41005021400 in the Lake Road neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41005021400?

Median gross rent is $1,624/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021400?

10.0% of residents in tract 41005021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 73th, minority 21th, housing 90th.

Q5

Is tract 41005021400 considered part of Lake Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021400 fall within Lake Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 41005021400 compare to Oak Grove overall?

Tract 41005021400 scores 6.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove

Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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