Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Roseway Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051007400 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,829 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 9.1/10, tract 41051007400 in the Roseway area of Portland, OR reads high for landlord eviction risk. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate32.5%
Median income$69,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5658, -122.6076 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseway scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
32.5% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Roseway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 969Total filings over 16 yrs
- 8.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.0%Peak (2006)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 165Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roseway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseway
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. At $1,346 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Portland commands. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 969 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 14.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051007400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051007400?
Census tract 41051007400 in the Roseway neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051007400?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051007400?
32.5% of residents in tract 41051007400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,829.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051007400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 73th, minority 70th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 41051007400 considered part of Roseway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051007400 fall within Roseway (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051007400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 969 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051007400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.95% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051007400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051007400 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051007400 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051007400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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