Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Russellville Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051008203 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,503 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 41051008203 sits in the Russellville area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.1/10. Population here is 5,503. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,293
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$71,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5176, -122.5471 · click any tract to drill in
Why Russellville scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,421 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Russellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 730Total filings 2020-21
- 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Russellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Russellville
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,421, 14% below the Portland average.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051008203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051008203?
Census tract 41051008203 in the Russellville neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051008203?
Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051008203?
24.3% of residents in tract 41051008203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,503.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051008203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 78th, minority 59th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 41051008203 considered part of Russellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051008203 fall within Russellville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051008203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051008203 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051008203 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051008203 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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