Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Cheshire Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039000402 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,011 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Cheshire
Census tract 41039000402 covers Cheshire in Lane County, home to 4,011 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.
28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,064 monthly, set against $84,489 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,415
Renter share13.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$84,489
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheshire and the region
Centroid at 44.2018, -123.3575 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cheshire scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheshire
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheshire
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheshire
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheshire
4.5
How Cheshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2005)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cheshire
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cheshire, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lane County average of 6.1 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 90 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.1% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000402?
Census tract 41039000402 in Cheshire scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039000402?
Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000402?
8.9% of residents in tract 41039000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,011.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 38th, minority 24th, housing 50th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.62% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039000402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039000402 compare to Cheshire overall?
Tract 41039000402 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Cheshire at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheshire; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related