Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Santa Clara
Tract 41039002302 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,464 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 41039002302 in the Spring Creek area of Santa Clara, OR reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,464. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Lane County average of 46.2%.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$101,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Clara and the region
Centroid at 44.1230, -123.1221 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Creek scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Santa Clara
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,670 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Clara
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Clara
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Clara
5.1
How Spring Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 139Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2004)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 51Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Creek
It sits 2.8 points below the Lane County average of 6.2. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 139 eviction filings across 16 observed years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 5.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,670, close to the Santa Clara average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $101,094.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002302?
Census tract 41039002302 in the Spring Creek neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002302?
Median gross rent is $1,670/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002302?
10.0% of residents in tract 41039002302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 55th, minority 28th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002302 considered part of Spring Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002302 fall within Spring Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 139 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.14% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039002302 compare to Santa Clara overall?
Tract 41039002302 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Clara at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Clara; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Santa Clara
Top eight tracts in Santa Clara ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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