Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Lowell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039001600 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,511 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Lowell
The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 41039001600 reflects conditions in Lowell, Oregon. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,829 a month while the average household earns $84,891 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,958
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$84,891
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lowell and the region
Centroid at 43.9254, -122.6414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lowell scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,829 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
7.3
How Lowell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2007)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lowell
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lane County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2007.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001600?
Census tract 41039001600 in Lowell scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001600?
Median gross rent is $1,829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001600?
13.9% of residents in tract 41039001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,511.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 53th, minority 11th, housing 69th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.47% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001600 compare to Lowell overall?
Tract 41039001600 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Lowell at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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