Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039001804 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,207 · 71% of tract blocks fall in Springfield
For landlords sizing up Springfield in Lane County, census tract 41039001804 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,644 monthly, set against $111,587 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$111,587
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0536, -122.8806 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springfield scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,644 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 181Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2006)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 35Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springfield
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lane County average of 6.1 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001804?
Census tract 41039001804 in Springfield scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001804?
Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001804?
5.0% of residents in tract 41039001804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,207.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 29th, minority 31th, housing 50th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 181 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.52% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001804 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039001804 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Glenwood
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Glenwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001902
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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