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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41039001804 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,207 · 71% of tract blocks fall in Springfield

Tract 41039001804 sits in Springfield eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 4,207. Cost burden runs 23% here against 46.2% across Lane County.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 12% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$111,587

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 17 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#787 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 44.0536, -122.8806 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,644 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0018046.3Springfieldparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 181Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2006)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41039001804
Filings dropped 27% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 35Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. At $1,644 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

Against the Lane County average of 6.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 181 evictions over 16 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 9.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039001804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001804?

Census tract 41039001804 in Springfield scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039001804?

Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001804?

5.0% of residents in tract 41039001804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,207.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 29th, minority 31th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 181 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.52% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039001804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039001804 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 41039001804 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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