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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Nob Hill Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051004902 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,432 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

41051004902 is a census tract in the Nob Hill area of Portland, OR. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,432. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 37% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share92.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$41,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Nob Hill
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5262, -122.6905 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nob Hill scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Nob Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nob Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0049027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 216Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nob Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nob Hill

This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $41,569, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. It sits 1.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,492 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Portland commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051004902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051004902?

Census tract 41051004902 in the Nob Hill neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051004902?

Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051004902?

26.3% of residents in tract 41051004902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,432.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051004902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 0th, minority 53th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 41051004902 considered part of Nob Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051004902 fall within Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051004902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051004902 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051004902 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051004902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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