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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Nob Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051005202 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,978 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 41051005202 in the Nob Hill area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,978 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 36% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,998
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$66,641

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Nob Hill
Low
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#74 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5211, -122.6945 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nob Hill scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,634 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Nob Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nob Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0052027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 326Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nob Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nob Hill

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely. Average gross rent is $1,634, close to the Portland average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $66,641.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051005202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005202?

Census tract 41051005202 in the Nob Hill neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051005202?

Median gross rent is $1,634/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005202?

7.9% of residents in tract 41051005202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,978.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 11th, minority 45th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 41051005202 considered part of Nob Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005202 fall within Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051005202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051005202 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051005202 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051005202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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