Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Hays Eviction Risk: Lower , Baldwin
Tract 42003480400 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 5,119 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 42003480400 covers part of the Hays area of Baldwin, PA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,119. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,256
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$102,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwin and the region
Centroid at 40.3804, -79.9524 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hays scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$925 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
5.5
How Hays compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 94Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2006)
- 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hays
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.8/10. Against the Allegheny County average of 5.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Allegheny County average of 40.6%. Court records carry 94 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Average gross rent is $925, 13% below the Baldwin average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 5.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003480400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003480400?
Census tract 42003480400 in the Hays neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003480400?
Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003480400?
13.4% of residents in tract 42003480400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,119.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003480400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 45th, minority 14th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 42003480400 considered part of Hays?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003480400 fall within Hays (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003480400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003480400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.00% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003480400 compare to Baldwin overall?
Tract 42003480400 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Baldwin at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42003480400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin
Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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