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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Hays Eviction Risk: Lower , Baldwin

Tract 42003480400 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 5,119 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 42003480400, home to 5,119 residents in Hays in Baldwin, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $925 monthly, set against $102,143 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,256
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$102,143

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hays
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Baldwin
High
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#265 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#2,084 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baldwin and the region

Centroid at 40.3804, -79.9524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hays scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$925 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
5.5

How Hays compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hays risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 480400Baldwin: 3.73.7Baldwinparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 94Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2006)
  • 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034804002000: 11 filings (4.28/100 renter HHs)2001: 10 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (5.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 14 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 16 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hays

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003480400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003480400?

Census tract 42003480400 in the Hays neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003480400?

Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003480400?

13.4% of residents in tract 42003480400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,119.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003480400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 45th, minority 14th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 42003480400 considered part of Hays?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003480400 fall within Hays (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003480400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003480400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.00% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003480400 compare to Baldwin overall?

Tract 42003480400 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Baldwin at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42003480400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin

Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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