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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Marshall Shadeland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003271600 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 4,310 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

42003271600 is a census tract in the Marshall Shadeland area of Pittsburgh, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,310. Against Allegheny County at 40.6%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 17% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,040
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$40,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Marshall Shadeland
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4713, -80.0283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshall Shadeland scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0

How Marshall Shadeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marshall Shadeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 2716005.9Pittsburghparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marshall Shadeland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marshall Shadeland

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Allegheny County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $40,015, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.2/10.

At $1,101 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003271600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003271600?

Census tract 42003271600 in the Marshall Shadeland neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003271600?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003271600?

29.0% of residents in tract 42003271600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003271600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 28th, minority 70th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 42003271600 considered part of Marshall Shadeland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003271600 fall within Marshall Shadeland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003271600 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003271600 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003271600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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